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Who will become the world’s first trillionaire?
Paid
Select an outcome
Mark Zuckerberg
2.9x35%
Jeff Bezos
0%
Elon MuskWinner
2.9x35%
Someone else
3.3x30%
Winner: Elon Musk
Payouts have been distributed to winners.
About this market
A trillionaire = a net worth of $1,000,000,000,000 👀😮💨 whoever hits that number first wins the market! We’ll use credible global wealth rankings like Forbes or the Bloomberg Billionaires Index to confirm it. If someone unexpected rockets past these usual suspects, then the “Someone else” option takes the win.
Timeline and payout
Prediction opened
Mar 5, 2026 at 11:29 PM ET
Prediction closes
Dec 30, 2026 at 10:59 PM ET
Payouts distributed
24 hours after resolution, once the challenge window closes
How resolution works
- The creator announces the winning outcome, at the deadline or earlier if the result is already known.
- A 24 hour challenge window follows. Anyone who traded can dispute the result; a successful dispute claws payouts back and refunds everyone.
- Winners split the pool in proportion to their predictions. The creator stakes 10% as a safety deposit, returned on honest resolution.
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