The Prediction Network
Your group chat is already a prediction market.
Sawa gives your community stakes, a scoreboard, and a permanent record of who was right. Every prediction builds your track record. Signal > Opinion.
Any question your community is already debating
Your school, your firm, your neighborhood. Markets and communities can be private, locked to a domain or invite-only link.
Create a prediction
in seconds.
Type any question your community is already debating. Watch it come to life as a live prediction market.
Four steps.
Infinite receipts.
Find your community
Search by name, import contacts, or join via invite link. Campus, team, startup cohort, friend group — Sawa works for any bounded community.
Create or join a prediction
Post a question your community actually cares about. Set a resolution date. Watch your community take positions and odds shift in real time.
Track live odds
See the community's collective belief update with every new position. The odds bar is the signal. Watch opinion become data in real time.
Build your track record
Every resolved prediction updates your public profile. Signal Score. Leaderboard rank. The permanent, shareable proof that you called it right.
Six contexts.
One truth engine.
Campus & School Life
“Will Professor Chen curve the final?”
The community that already debates everything and remembers nothing. Sawa makes it official and gives it stakes.
Local Sports
“Who wins the intramural championship?”
Fantasy football retains 80% of players year-over-year because of social accountability. Sawa brings that to every game your community plays.
Entertainment
“Who gets eliminated next?”
Social context turns a transaction into a conversation you continue at breakfast. Stakes make watching together mean something.
Career & Industry
“Will Google extend return offers?”
1B+ monthly LinkedIn visits run on professional speculation with zero accountability. Sawa changes that.
Local Decisions
“Will the new restaurant last 6 months?”
Local knowledge is the most undervalued edge in the world. Sawa is where your community's insider information becomes signal.
Any Community Debate
“Who called it first?”
If your group chat argues about it, Sawa can hold stakes on it. If it has a verifiable outcome, it belongs on Sawa.
SIGNAL
>
OPINION
An opinion is a hot take with no accountability. A signal is a prediction with stakes: quantified community belief that can be proved right or wrong. Sawa is where your opinions stop being noise and start being signal.
The receipts speak
for themselves.
Our MBA cohort has been obsessed. Who gets a return offer, who makes partner first. Sawa turned our group chat into something you actually want to check.
We have been running a pool on our rec basketball league for two seasons. The leaderboard drama alone is worth it. Everyone is checking Sawa at halftime.
I have been saying layoffs were coming at that firm for months. Sawa gave me a way to actually prove it. My Signal Score is now my LinkedIn headline.
Called it 6 months out that the new taproom would not survive the summer. The community did not believe me. Now I have receipts.
We watch the Bachelor as a house every week. Sawa is the only reason we still care by week 6. Everyone has skin in the game now and the person who has been right the most gets bragging rights that last all year.
Our crypto group used to just argue on Twitter. Now we put our predictions on Sawa and actually track who has the best calls. It changed how we think about conviction.
Ready to prove you were right?
Join free. Build your track record. Be the person who called it.