
Real-money market
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New Jersey's Attorney General filed a cert petition on 2 Sep 2026 (Flaherty v. KalshiEX, LLC) seeking review of the Third Circuit's 6 Apr 2026 ruling that the Commodity Exchange Act preempts state gambling law as applied to Kalshi's sports event contracts; the Ninth Circuit split with it on 28 Aug 2026. Settles YES if the Supreme Court's official docket for that petition records an order granting it — including a grant limited to some questions presented, a GVR, or a grant with summary reversal — entered on or before 31 Dec 2026; otherwise NO. A CVSG, relist, reschedule or hold settles NO.
No
73%