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Will Donald Trump leave office before October 1, 2026?
Real money · USDC

Will Donald Trump leave office before October 1, 2026?

Sawa·Closes Oct 1, 2026
Open
96%No

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About this market

Resolves YES if Donald Trump ceases to hold the office of President of the United States at any point before October 1, 2026, for any reason, including resignation, removal following Senate conviction, or a permanent transfer of power under the 25th Amendment. Resolves NO if he is still president on that date. For reference: Polymarket prices Trump leaving office before 2027 at about 5 percent on $10M of volume, and Kalshi prices impeachment alone before September 1 at about 1 percent. Removal also requires a Senate conviction on top of impeachment.

No

96%