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Who鈥檚 going to miss tomorrow鈥檚 first activity? 馃嵑
Paid
Select an outcome
Errol Clarke
50.0x2%
Alvaro LudowiegWinner
2.0x49%
Dana Chiabra
2.1x47%
Alan Khaykin
50.0x2%
Winner: Alvaro Ludowieg
Payouts have been distributed to winners.
Timeline and payout
Prediction opened
Jan 6, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET
Prediction closes
Jan 7, 2026 at 4:29 AM ET
Payouts distributed
24 hours after resolution, once the challenge window closes
How resolution works
- The creator announces the winning outcome, at the deadline or earlier if the result is already known.
- A 24 hour challenge window follows. Anyone who traded can dispute the result; a successful dispute claws payouts back and refunds everyone.
- Winners split the pool in proportion to their predictions. The creator stakes 10% as a safety deposit, returned on honest resolution.