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Will a YC Fall 2026 company reach 1 billion users by 2030?
Real money · USDC

Will a YC Fall 2026 company reach 1 billion users by 2030?

Firasatoui·
100% trust
·Closes Dec 31, 2030
Open
58%Yes

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About this market

ChatGPT set the all-time record at roughly 3 years from launch to 1 billion monthly users. TikTok took about 4, Facebook about 4.5, YouTube more than 6. This asks whether any single company out of one YC batch matches that pace from seed stage.

Yes

58%